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Predicting English Premier League match outcomes using machine learning

EPL Match Outcome Prediction

Predicting English Premier League (EPL) match outcomes — Home Win, Draw, or Away Win — using machine learning models trained on 2000–2024 match data.

Dataset

Source: Kaggle EPL Dataset

Features: Goals, Cards, Shots, Fouls, etc.

Target: Match result (FTR)

️ Tools & Libraries

Python, Pandas, NumPy

Scikit-learn, XGBoost, Joblib

Matplotlib, Seaborn

? Preprocessing

Removed 1 row with missing values

Converted Date to datetime

Dropped Referee column due to high cardinality

Exploratory Analysis

Class distribution

Correlation heatmap

? Models Used

Logistic Regression

K-Nearest Neighbors

Decision Tree

Random Forest

XGBoost

? Best Model

XGBoost

Accuracy: 100%

Model saved as epl_model.pkl

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